Monday, February 20, 2017

Blockchain the other crucial piece

This is a good simplified view on blockchain https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/what-everyone-should-know-blockchain-bernard-marr

Saturday, February 18, 2017

AI, CrispR and Nano

Even heard today how an AI listening to OAP homes walls can predict in advance when a fall is likely!!

https://www.ft.com/content/1bf4cdc8-f251-11e6-95ee-f14e55513608

People have only just started to imagine where AI can be most useful for people, planet and prosperity #triplebottomline

Thursday, February 16, 2017

Minimum wage in the 90's, Living wages in the 00's and a universal basic income by AI2030!

3 spins of the same coins:

https://www.cgdev.org/blog/universal-basic-income-what-would-mahatma-gandhi-do

http://www.thetimes.co.uk/article/musk-backs-basic-income-in-robot-future-v5mrldgxc?shareToken=7c150f68888844651762302de11849c8 Elon Musk

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7O0OJ_VZJok Yanis V

Could happen, should happen!

Tuesday, February 14, 2017

Gates Annual letter 2017 - out today!

So much great stuff in this letter this year, especially on nutrition and women. Love this quote:

"Warren, you’ve compared your philosophy of investing to Ted Williams’s science of hitting. Williams waits for the right pitch, and you wait for the right deal. This is the right deal, Warren. Like vaccines, contraceptives are one of the greatest lifesaving innovations in history."

https://www.gatesnotes.com/2017-Annual-Letter

Artificial intelligence and machine learning; The compliment to "humans that work", their jobs, their creativity!

The doom and gloom merchants worrying about AI because of the future jobs in certain trades and profession choose not to see the massive efficiency gains and therefore huge GDP growth which with good governance will lead to more human capability.

Even human creativity short term can expand thanks to AI so as well as the saving of lives, improving the life chances and life spans and with education help reduce family size it helps get the earth's human population to a steady state, say 12 Billion around 205.

Once achieved the long term future of humans across the universe might grow exponentially as Prof Nick Bostrum says in his book "Superintelligence" but thats looking beyond a few generations and pout thousands if not millions of years.

In the short term, AI has huge potential for human creativity and Stephen who I know and Blaise who I have followed for some time say it so well here:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LgEzAcRrK5A

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uSUOdu_5MPc

https://innerventur.es/2017/02/12/the-post-robotic-ai-age-and-the-role-of-creativity-and-innovation/

AI, Nano and CrispR all bring the thinking towards a singularity

The last year has seen so much more on all these fronts each and every day beyond my past posts on AI and related topics:
http://nickhorslen.blogspot.co.uk/search?q=AI+

Demis Hassibas is still the best place to start for those exploring this anew IMHO: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rbsqaJwpu6A&t=27s

With the FT and Accenture putting their spin on things https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5GLqwzR3bnQ

Monday, February 13, 2017

Greece and the fear of the IMF and EU standoff!

The journalist focuses on europeans but really its about the EU not the europeans!

Interesting that the FT had to close the comment thread within a few hours!

https://www.ft.com/content/87501830-ef85-11e6-930f-061b01e23655

France and Germany, the hope for the EU and Euro!

President Le Pen – small risk, big shock


https://www.ft.com/content/62233ec0-b130-3536-b84b-ffafd7960106

Saturday, February 11, 2017

Brexit sunshine

We will (wait and) see:

https://www.ft.com/content/20f287b2-eee5-11e6-ba01-119a44939bb6

Friday, February 10, 2017

Credit to Germany

Its to the great credit of Germany that so few people think about the unification of Germany in the context of many of todays challenges. For Germany to emerge from that in surplus is exemplar IMHO.

Contrast that with France and the rest of Europe and what it expects of them and the next generational shift has to be considered carefully.

I do think if Merkel wins she will hold all the cards and play them wisely for Germany, Europe and the EU. I also think she will be a key moderator in the Brexit negotiation, she knows Britain, she knows France, she knows Germany!

http://www.economist.com/news/europe/21716641-not-reasons-donald-trump-thinks-it-germanys-current-account-surplus-problem

Why the narrative has to build with the US spin wrapping, well thats journalism!

The French people will decide, probably the french way!

The EU, franco-german alliance is so important that the EU is going to have to prevent or solve the issue they have created, pop-up right wing leaders https://www.ft.com/content/06deaa20-eed8-11e6-930f-061b01e23655 The future of the EU just like pre WW1 and WW2 was always about extreme leaders in that camp. Lets see how much they care about Europe and Europeans.

GuyV on the EU history of problems and what?

40 minutes in the EU negotiator agrees Brexit is a wake up call for the EU:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dvBu9BWYnqc

Thursday, February 09, 2017

Absolute and relative poverty - the debate continues!

Jason Hickel. LSE. long time challenger of the MDG, SDG, UN and World Bank progress!

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/293191457_The_true_extent_of_global_poverty_and_hunger_Questioning_the_good_news_narrative_of_the_Millennium_Development_Goals

Aubrey de Grey - living to 100 years old is more common, getting to 1000, who and when?

This would definately challenge the current sustainability models for human progress!

https://www.ft.com/content/238cc916-e935-11e6-967b-c88452263daf

Aubrey de Grey: scientist who says humans can live for 1,000 years

Wednesday, February 08, 2017

Cognitive services and AI

Early days but the world is watching, literally!

Cognitive Services


Bonds new CEO Tamsyn Barton!

With a background in the field with development and also DFID and academia at Cambridge and trustee at SOAS it will be interesting to see how things proceed,

https://www.bond.org.uk/news/2017/02/tamsyn-barton-is-new-bond-chief-executive

Pretend and extend, Greece and Italy et al

The cliff that everyone talks about for the UK Brexit seems like little more than a curb when both sides of the long running EU IMF debacle continues.

It will be interesting to see if this gets resolved pre or post Brexit or if it is allowed to explode at a timely point in relation to Brexit.

I hope for the Greeks but also EU and UK that it all gets sorted ok after years of posts way back!

https://www.ft.com/content/6a05f1ee-ed52-11e6-930f-061b01e23655

with the EU and IMF difference shown here:

https://www.ft.com/content/63d8b354-ed5e-11e6-930f-061b01e23655

With the side note from Draghi and Carney:

https://www.ft.com/content/e04582b0-ed67-11e6-ba01-119a44939bb6

Tuesday, February 07, 2017

Debt, deficit and GDP

Would like to have captured this in 2000 and 2010 must do it in 2020

http://www.debtclocks.eu/public-debt-and-budget-deficit-of-the-united-kingdom.html

Its intertesting to see France and Belgium but also Greece against places like Romania:

http://www.debtclocks.eu/public-debt-and-budget-deficits-comparison-of-the-eu-member-states.html

Monday, February 06, 2017

AI GDP growth

More analysis from Accenture this time on how GDP and human performance and social progress can continue:

http://paidpost.ft.com/accenture/

video worth a watch, with sound off!

Correlation or causation in post brexit referendum data and analysis

More data and analysis of remain and leave by different criteria, useful reading!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-38762034

From Scott Adams to Steve Jobs and Kierkegaard: the Trump-eting continues!

Interesting:

"Scott Adams, creator of Dilbert, the cartoon office drone, endorsed Mr Trump for president. He thinks he is authentic — “He is always full-Trump and never anything else”, he wrote in 2015. But he sees him more as a great persuader. Similarly, Charles Spinosa, a philosopher-turned-consultant who once taught Kierkegaard and Heidegger’s ideas on authenticity, believes President Trump is an authentic leader who, as Steve Jobs did at Apple, can reinvigorate the organisation he commands. Such people “see something others do not see”, he says."

https://www.ft.com/content/f168807e-e8a8-11e6-893c-082c54a7f539

Saturday, February 04, 2017

Evan Spiegel and Snap IPO


https://www.ft.com/content/b962b972-ea30-11e6-893c-082c54a7f539

Snapchat, strucurally sounds very interesting or challenging, meteoric  rise but risky bet! lets see!

Friday, February 03, 2017

The Atlantic bridge, divide or conquer

An interesting piece by Monbiot, it will be interesting to see how this unfolds by 2020 and 2025

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/feb/02/corporate-dark-money-power-atlantic-lobbyists-brexit

2017 time for some leadership with the new normal!


https://www.ft.com/content/4d0ff3d8-e928-11e6-893c-082c54a7f539

Ms Merkel herself insists it is “grotesque and absurd” to suggest she should assume the mantle of leader of the free world after Mr Trump’s shock victory. But her dominance has been underscored by turmoil within Europe itself.  "

Arbitrage of data and opinions, like the weather highs and low create wind between them some for sailing!

https://www.ft.com/content/a570cbf8-e962-11e6-893c-082c54a7f539

With their rivals distracted by the drama of US politics a small but growing number of hedge funds are increasing their exposure to one of the least fashionable markets in the world — continental Europe.

In my humble opinion everyone in business, govt, politics and change needs to experience sailing and learn some of the basics, the vectors of life and how working with and against them helps with course, direction and speed, safety and excitement!

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-1.25,50.78,574/loc=-3.036,53.153


Thursday, February 02, 2017

Populism or bigoted - be honest you what mean!

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/sep/13/lionel-shrivers-full-speech-i-hope-the-concept-of-cultural-appropriation-is-a-passing-fad

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SWEfFSjjAhc


Tarrifs on Africa in the EU, UK and all the rest!

This is a document worth a read!

http://www.ahdb.org.uk/documents/Horizon_Brexit_Analysis_Report-Oct2016.pdf

Wednesday, February 01, 2017

Methane! Lifes a gas!!!

Love this item on food fish methane ecology and the environment!

https://www.ft.com/content/f520cebc-dbe5-11e6-9d7c-be108f1c1dce

“Finnish dairy farmers are growing aware of the environmental problems with methane production and interested in solutions,” says Juha-Pekka Pitkänen, who is leading the VTT study.
His team plans to test small reactors that produce the bacteria at two farms this summer. “The main problem is making the reactors cheap enough and to find ways to get economies of scale,” Mr Pitkänen says.
It is possible that one day methane-based protein could be consumed directly by humans. “These kinds of products could end up in human protein bars eventually,” Mr Shaw believes.
Both Mr Shaw and Mr Busch-Larsen have tried their own food but neither plans to enter the human market as there could be considerable public aversion. “You would have to modify the process,” says Mr Busch-Larsen. “It is not for tomorrow.”

Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Guy Verhofstadt on Brexit and U.S. of Europe | Newsnight 30Jan17

You have to watch this one on the EU and Brexit and expect a great negotiation!


You have to watch the full 12 minutes!

The rolling debate on brexit is coming to a close, one/two months to go, then two years to negotiate. What has been said and done!

I will collect some of the things that influence my view pre and post-referendum and what I think influenced and influences voters and policy makers:

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/475679/Donald_Tusk_letter.pdf David Cameron

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SYLQtDpVWCA Phillip Hammond

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=q_gyYnwu4Pw Nigel Lawson

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-eu-referendum-35622105 BBC coverage

http://www.economistsforbrexit.co.uk/ Expert views on value or exit

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/politics/eu_referendum BBC features

https://www.ft.com/topics/themes/Brexit FT feastures

https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/jun/14/eu-immigration-control-labour-supporters-voters-party Frank Fields

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=dzxU3GJz7AE& Giesla Stuart

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2016/06/27/brexit-symptom-globalization-deeper-ills/BY8fKiVi8BdpnZHCu3lv4I/story.html Prof Jeff Sachs

https://qz.com/744854/joseph-stiglitz-euro-future-of-europe-book/ Stiglitz

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8RXaHvZjqoA Phillip Hammond WEForum2017




Monday, January 30, 2017

Sachs and Trump, 1st or many months!


Jeff Sachs is a developmental economist always worth reading:

"The key to resolving America’s ills depends on greater fairness, decency, and honesty lie within our own borders, notably on how we share the benefits of advanced technologies such as robotics and artificial intelligence, and the booming profits they are producing. The real counterpart of falling American working-class incomes is not the rise of Mexican incomes but the soaring profits and incomes now going to the 1 percent. The key solutions for American workers are right at home, not in overseas military adventures, new arms races or self-defeating trade wars."

https://www.bostonglobe.com/opinion/2017/01/29/the-balance-sheet-america-first/5NN1urTLce1xB0rGObvUEI/story.html

Thursday, January 26, 2017

UK fastest growing economy for how long?

UK shrugs off Brexit fears to be fastest growing G7 economy in 2016

GDP grew 0.6% in fourth quarter and 2% for the year, according to ONS

https://www.ft.com/content/1666262a-e39e-11e6-8405-9e5580d6e5fb

The two camps are saying different things, some expect this to bomb in 2017 2018 and 2019 and I will be posting the best or the worst of it in the run up to 2020!

Trump and ABC news, who own the narrative, the action, the outcomes!

Watching this, the accountability and the transparency is going to be the key issue for the next 4 years!

http://digg.com/2017/donald-trump-interview-abc-full-video


Tuesday, January 24, 2017

Singularity today and in the future. NOW=WON!


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9t7_u53_kNc&t=3s

Prof. Moshe Y. Vardi - Humans, Machines and Work: The Future is Now

Pound to strengthen up to and beyond 2019!

This is a good read and I reckon all the worst outcomes are factored in so the future is bright!

Sterling’s future under a ‘clean’ Brexit


"Such is the uncertainty surrounding these issues that anyone with significant exposure to sterling should seriously consider hedging to protect against future losses, or to lock in gains already made. Economists can outline possible scenarios but cannot be expected to make accurate predictions when such radical uncertainty is prevalent. The cost of hedging, though higher than the historic average, still seems small relative to the two-way risks inherent in sterling exposures around the time of Brexit."

https://www.ft.com/content/60c23bd8-dd16-3b07-9d8a-62ed73557cd7

Its not necessarily what anyone is publicly shouting but its my researched opinion!

Saturday, January 21, 2017

Davos 2017 - Opening Plenary with Xi Jinping President


Its interesting to listen! With the internet people, citizens have the chance to hear and read so much more. Learning how to research is critical to all, for the individual and for the rest of us listening to original sources and the crowd! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ys6skqxQKMk

Davos 2017 - Opening Plenary with Xi Jinping President of the Peoples Republic of China #XiJinping #Davo2017

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=c-JbvMq6aLU


MArk Carney, Christine Legarde, Martin Sorrel and others on growth and inequality
Davos 2017 BBC News Debate a Richer World But for Who

Open Sesami - global trade for 30:30:30


Jack Ma www.alibaba.com

Listening to Chinese people who are driving things is real interesting - his very last statement not 20:20 vision but 30:30:30 - The next generation- next 30 yrs: people aged 30: companies of 30 people! https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WsQ7ysVt-0A&t=1800

Ali Baba "In the story, Ali Baba is a poor woodcutter who discovers the secret of a thieves' den, entered with the phrase "Open Sesame". The thieves learn this and try to kill Ali Baba, but Ali Baba's faithful slave-girl foils their plots." https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ali_Baba

http://activities.alibaba.com/alibaba/following-about-alibaba.php?spm=a2700.7848340.0.0.IjYA0P

Friday, January 20, 2017

Davos2017 China's voice being heard, rightly!

Especially in the business and social sense and not the political sense, at least not on the surface:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WsQ7ysVt-0A


Wednesday, January 18, 2017

Corruption at every stage and at both ends of the Aid ODA 0.7% supply chain!

Worth a read of the 6 key principles to fight corruption.

Reminds me - dont let the urgent get in the way of the important!!

https://www.bond.org.uk/news/2017/01/aid-corruption-and-the-perils-of-turning-a-blind-eye

Monday, January 16, 2017

Davos2017 expected themes and trends!

To keep track of this week as it happens and then retrospectively compared to past and future years

https://www.ft.com/content/576fb394-dbcd-11e6-86ac-f253db7791c6

From elections to AI from growth to establishing the true or new reality!

Why Davos 2017 matters: 10 things to watch for

Xi’s visit, the globalisation conundrum and living with Trump loom large on agenda

UK forecast from the IMF, up for 2017, less so for 2018!

Optimism and then being hedged into 2018! We will see:

https://www.ft.com/content/f8e84a34-db36-11e6-86ac-f253db7791c6

" In the latest update to its world economic outlook, the IMF said domestic demand had “held up better than expected in the aftermath of the Brexit vote”. The Washington-based organisation now predicts the British economy will grow by 1.5 per cent this year, an increase of 0.4 percentage points. However, the IMF revised down its projection for growth in 2018 by 0.3 percentage points to 1.4 per cent.  "

Comments on group-think are interesting as applied to the IMF, EU and UK communities!

IMF’s upward revision for UK economy fuels Brexit debate

Growth of 1.5% predicted in 2017, a rise of 0.4 percentage points

The business positioning of the SDG's

Interesting to see this developing in 2016 giving a clear roadmap addition for 2030!

http://report.businesscommission.org/

Paul Polman the CEO of Unilever being the leading and key advocate from the corp community!


Plays into the wider positioning as I like to see it:
https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/people-planet-prosperity-light-arrives-new-everyday-sets-nick-horslen


Heres another from the Lancet of SDG health http://www.thelancet.com/infographics/sdg

Saturday, January 14, 2017

Your AI mobile GP

https://www.ft.com/content/1efb95ba-d852-11e6-944b-e7eb37a6aa8e

How smartphones are transforming healthcare

Powerful new apps are turning our phones into mobile medical clinics. Could this help solve the issue of rising healthcare costs?


Wednesday, January 11, 2017

Bank of England changing tact on Brexit

Pain passing for UK trouble brewing for Europe, well I never, negotiations will be just that!

https://www.ft.com/content/7836112a-98d7-3af1-a982-a1fe78a9783d

If only it was as visible and predictable as the weather http://earth.nullschool.net Brilliant real time visualisation of the fundamentals of weather - highs and lows, wind directions, everything a global or local sailor needs to start from!

Hipster capitalism, the gig economy is not letting globalisation leave everyone behind

Interesting to re visit

https://www.ft.com/content/61a654de-d723-11e6-944b-e7eb37a6aa8e

UK Income inequality lowest level since the 80's

Interesting data coming to the fore

https://www.ft.com/content/394b82da-d74f-11e6-944b-e7eb37a6aa8e